Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 75.188276 84.520842 94.036784 104.433589 115.442000 126.721830 139.124386
2025-11-23 59.501137 72.798524 86.955726 103.018487 120.613600 139.189259 160.173687
2025-11-30 51.652693 67.291432 84.466311 104.460006 126.849079 150.929678 178.578236
2025-12-07 45.778601 63.148059 82.756739 106.088475 132.693338 161.736576 195.507717
2025-12-14 39.568045 57.912690 79.207735 105.090953 135.114028 168.339634 207.416809
2025-12-21 33.830620 52.678340 75.187937 103.124124 136.059826 172.974472 216.843869
2025-12-28 31.763370 51.756315 76.125074 106.809415 143.385369 184.727008 234.192368
2026-01-04 29.160627 49.900083 75.729550 108.740916 148.529619 193.880432 248.505570
2026-01-11 25.753225 46.693519 73.430921 108.177490 150.570195 199.327220 258.473776
2026-01-18 22.755059 43.780373 71.304745 107.657391 152.524209 204.563289 268.105886
2026-01-25 20.509176 41.722664 70.136927 108.209192 155.673421 211.124996 279.212180
2026-02-01 18.032979 39.113431 68.084399 107.515236 157.203043 215.695594 287.933498
2026-02-08 16.059111 37.108912 66.762328 107.715873 159.830836 221.602871 298.286037
2026-02-15 13.868889 34.559682 64.555073 106.664969 160.831652 225.514572 306.257611
2026-02-22 12.649055 33.446897 64.266296 108.061994 164.840767 233.006381 318.433824
2026-03-01 11.619712 32.550780 64.220995 109.735009 169.165118 240.859097 331.027439
2026-03-08 9.961658 30.387350 62.230830 108.715967 170.010866 244.438842 338.491986
2026-03-15 8.242569 27.884556 59.596084 106.711882 169.511991 246.311120 343.859321
2026-03-22 8.019113 28.189501 61.167053 110.467505 176.424620 257.280606 360.160712
2026-03-29 7.415633 27.681443 61.462085 112.435498 181.010764 265.379679 373.006118
2026-04-05 6.338496 26.070950 59.973720 111.861459 182.250896 269.316719 380.806444
2026-04-12 5.382853 24.563659 58.561130 111.331544 183.503165 273.236297 388.561219
2026-04-19 4.715514 23.590924 57.945904 111.893759 186.164379 278.891932 398.412795